Presentations

2016   2015   2014   2013   2012   2011   2010   2009   2008

2016

J.J. Azose, A.E. Raftery and H. Ševčíková. Including Migration Uncertainty in Probabilistic Population Projections. Paper won a Poster Award at the 2016 Annual Meeting of the Population Association of America, Washington, DC, March 2016.

J. Godwin and A.E. Raftery. Bayesian Projections of Life Expectancy Accounting for HIV Prevalence for All Countries in the World. Presented at the 2016 Annual Meeting of the Population Association of America, Washington, DC, March 2016.

A.E. Raftery and H. Ševčíková. Bayesian Population Projections: Theory & Practice. Two-day course at the 2016 Annual Meeting of the Population Association of America, Washington, DC, March 2016. (material for participants)
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2015

J.J. Azose and A.E. Raftery. Probabilistic Projection of International Migration for All Countries. Presented at the 2015 Annual Meeting of the Population Association of America, San Diego, CA, May 2015.

D.J. Sharrow, Y. He and A.E. Raftery. Probabilistic Projections of Mortality in Countries with Generalized HIV Epidemics for Use in Total Population Projection. Presented at the 2015 Annual Meeting of the Population Association of America, San Diego, CA, May 2015.
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2014

A.E. Raftery. Probabilistic population projections for all countries. Presented at the 2014 Journees de Statistique in Rennes. (video in french)

J.J. Azose and A.E. Raftery. Bayesian Probabilistic Projection of International Migration Rates. Presented at the 2014 Annual Meeting of the Population Association of America, Boston, MA, May 2014.

R. Maltiel, A.E. Raftery and T.H. McCormick. Estimating the Size of Key Affected Populations in Concentrated HIV/AIDS Epidemics Using the Network Scale up Method. Presented at the 2014 Annual Meeting of the Population Association of America, Boston, MA, May 2014.

H. Ševčíková, A.E. Raftery and P. Gerland. Bayesian Probabilistic Population Projections: Do It Yourself. Presented at the 2014 Annual Meeting of the Population Association of America, Boston, MA, May 2014.

D.J. Sharrow, Y. He, A.E. Raftery and S.J. Clark. Probabilistic Population Projections for Countries with Generalized HIV Epidemics. Presented at the 2014 Annual Meeting of the Population Association of America, Boston, MA, May 2014.

M.C. Wheldon, A.E. Raftery, S.J. Clark and P. Gerland. Bayesian Reconstruction of Two-Sex Populations by Age: Estimating Sex Ratios at Birth and Sex Ratios of Mortality. Presented at the 2014 Annual Meeting of the Population Association of America, Boston, MA, May 2014.
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2013

L. Alkema, A.E. Raftery, P. Gerland. Ultimate fertility levels: a modified projection method for low fertility countries. Presented at the XXVII IUSSP International Population Conference, Busan, Republic of Korea, August 2013.

S.J. Clark, J. Wakefield, T.H. McCormick and M. Ross. Hyak Mortality Monitoring System, Innovative Sampling and Estimation Methods – Proof of Concept by Simulation. Presented at the XXVII IUSSP International Population Conference, Busan, Republic of Korea, August 2013.

A.E. Raftery and B. Fosdick. Regional probabilistic fertility forecasting by modeling between-country correlations. Presented at the XXVII IUSSP International Population Conference, Busan, Republic of Korea, August 2013.

D.J. Sharrow, S.J. Clark and A.E. Raftery. Modeling Age-Specific Mortality for Countries with Generalized HIV Epidemics. Presented at the XXVII IUSSP International Population Conference, Busan, Republic of Korea, August 2013.

M.C. Wheldon, A.E. Raftery, S.J. Clark and P. Gerland. Bayesian Reconstruction of Past Populations and Vital Rates by Age for Developing and Developed Countries. Presented at the XXVII IUSSP International Population Conference, Busan, Republic of Korea, August 2013.

B. Fosdick and A.E. Raftery. Regional Probabilistic Fertility Forecasting by Modeling between-Country Correlations. Presented at the 2013 Annual Meeting of the Population Association of America, New Orleans, LA, April 2013.

D.J. Sharrow, S.J. Clark and A.E. Raftery. Modeling Age-Specific Mortality for Countries with Generalized HIV Epidemics. Presented at the 2013 Annual Meeting of the Population Association of America, New Orleans, LA, April 2013.

M.C. Wheldon, A.E. Raftery, S.J. Clark. Bayesian Reconstruction of Past Populations and Vital Rates by Age for Developing and Developed Countries. Presented at the 2013 Annual Meeting of the Population Association of America, New Orleans, LA, April 2013.
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2012

A.E. Raftery and N. Lalic. Joint Probabilistic Projection of Female and Male Life Expectancy. Presented at the 2012 Annual Meeting of the Population Association of America, San Francisco, CA, May 2012.

M.C. Wheldon, A.E. Raftery, S.J. Clark and P. Gerland. Reconstructing Population Dynamics of the Recent Past, with Uncertainty, from Fragmentary Data. Presented at the 2012 Annual Meeting of the Population Association of America, San Francisco, CA, May 2012.
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2011

S.J. Clark and D.J. Sharrow. Contemporary Model Life Tables for Developed Countries: An Application of Bayesian Model-Based Clustering Presented at the 2011 Annual Meeting of the Population Association of America, Washington, DC, 2011.

S.J. Clark and D.J. Sharrow. A New Model Life Table Method. Presented at the Notestein Seminar Series, OPR, Princeton, March 2011.
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2010

J.L. Chunn and A.E. Raftery. Bayesian probabilistic projections of mortality. Presented at the 2010 Annual Meeting of the Population Association of America, Dallas, Texas, April 2010.

D.J. Sharrow and S.J. Clark. The Age-Pattern of Increases in Mortality Affected by HIV: Bayesian Fit of the Heligman-Pollard Model to Data from Rural South Africa.
Presented at the 2010 Annual Meeting of the Population Association of America, Dallas, Texas, April 2010.

D.J. Sharrow and S.J. Clark. A Parametric Investigation of Mortality at All Ages in a Rural, South African Population. Presented at the 2010 Annual Meeting of the Population Association of America, Dallas, Texas, April 2010.

M. Wheldon, A.E. Raftery, and P. Gerland. A Bayesian model for estimating population size and demo- graphic parameters with uncertainty. Presented at the 2010 Annual Meeting of the Population Association of America, Dallas, Texas, April 2010.
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2009

L. Alkema, A.E. Raftery, P. Gerland, S.J. Clark, F. Pelletier. Probabilistic projections of the total fertility rate. Presented at the 2009 Annual Meeting of the International Union for the Scientific Study of Population, Marrakech, Morocco, September 2009.
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2008

S.J. Clark, J. Thomas, L. Bao, and A.E. Raftery. Probabilistic Projections of Populations with HIV: a Bayesian Melding Approach. Presented by Clark and Thomas at the Population Association of America 2008 Annual Meeting: New Orleans.
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